Navigating Uncertainty: The Threat in Focus 

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has prompted a consensus not seen in decades about the threat it poses to the rest of the European continent. Even so, variations in threat perception remain, leading states to different conclusions about the scale and urgency of the response needed. 

How do current geopolitical circumstances, in particular the possible outcomes of Russia’s war in Ukraine, influence our understanding of the immediate and long-term threats to the Euro-Atlantic area? What lessons can be drawn from the past to inform our response to the threats posed by Russia and other hostile global actors? How do different understandings amongst Allies of the threat picture and different national priorities and defence strategies impact collective security? What can be done to better align priorities?